๐Ÿฅ› Our lead analyst just sold BTC ๐Ÿคจ

Milk Roadยทยท5 min read
Crypto/Web3FinanceBusiness
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AI Summary

Milk Road's lead analyst Martin trimmed his Bitcoin, Coinbase, and Tesla positions to raise cash and reduce crypto correlation, rotating proceeds into Uber stock. The thesis centers on Uber as a superior autonomous vehicle play โ€” asset-light, growing bookings 8x faster than headcount, with $9.8B FCF in 2025 and AV partnerships with Waymo, Rivian, and others. The newsletter also covers Circle's Agent Stack launch and Bridge's free stablecoin guide.

Key Facts

โœ“Milk Road's lead analyst Martin sold Bitcoin, Coinbase, and Tesla to rotate into Uber at ~23x forward earnings, citing $9.8B FCF, 20%+ growth, and an AV partnership moat with Waymo, Rivian, and others.
โœ“Uber's Q1 2026 bookings grew 8x faster than headcount, driving record mobility margins and a $6.5B buyback program funded by free cash flow.
โœ“Circle launched Circle Agent Stack for AI agents, and Bridge (a Stripe company) released a free stablecoin playbook covering real-world use cases.

Author Takes

BullishMilk Road

Uber vs. Autonomous Vehicle disruption risk

Self-driving cars will not disintermediate Uber โ€” AV fleets need demand aggregation during peak hours and complex routes, making Uber's network more valuable, not less, as robotaxis scale.

BearishMilk Road

Crypto portfolio diversification

Diversification within a crypto-heavy portfolio is largely cosmetic because all crypto assets sell off together, making true diversification require assets outside the crypto correlation bucket.

BearishMilk Road

U.S. inflation

U.S. inflation hit 3.8% in the latest reading โ€” the highest since May 2023 โ€” with oil cited as the primary culprit.

Contrarian Angle

Crypto Analyst Sells BTC to Buy Uber as the Better AV Bet

Milk Road's lead crypto analyst trimmed Bitcoin, Coinbase, and Tesla to fund a position in Uber, arguing Uber wins the AV era as a demand aggregator regardless of which company builds the cars, trading at 23x forward earnings with 20%+ growth.

A crypto analyst publicly rotating out of BTC into a ride-hailing stock as the 'cleaner' autonomous vehicle bet is unconventional, framing Uber as an asset-light tech platform rather than a transportation company.

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