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subtl daily briefing

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Good morning, tech enthusiasts. Google just dropped a bombshell that could reshape the entire crypto landscape — their Quantum AI team revealed that quantum computers need far fewer resources than expected to break Bitcoin's encryption, potentially putting Satoshi's $70B stash at risk by 2029. Meanwhile, AI development is accelerating with new tools from Anthropic and Alibaba, and the markets are grappling with geopolitical tensions that have oil approaching the dreaded 'stagflation zone.'

In today's briefing

  • 1.Quantum threat to crypto
  • 2.AI development surge
  • 3.Geopolitical market chaos
  • Quick hits on other news
Latest Developments
Finance

🛢️Strait of Hormuz closure pushes markets into stagflation zone

The Rundown: The four-week closure of the Strait of Hormuz has pushed oil prices into the $100-120 'stagflation zone' as Trump's market influence wanes amid escalating Middle East tensions.

The details:

  • Oil prices hit $100-120 per barrel as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for four weeks, with JP Morgan warning an additional $20 increase if Houthi rebels close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait
  • Trump's market influence is declining as 'TACO headlines' (Trump Always Chickens Out) are replaced by 'NACHO headlines' (Not Actually Changing Hormuz Opening)
  • The U.S. is building up thousands of Marines for potential ground operations while Iran war escalation threatens global supply chains
  • Markets are focused solely on reopening the vital oil shipping route that handles about 20% of global petroleum liquids
Why it matters: Rising energy costs and supply chain disruption create a challenging environment for startups and growth companies. Founders should prepare for higher operational costs and potentially reduced consumer spending as stagflationary pressures build, while also considering how geopolitical instability might affect global markets and funding availability.

📰 Source: Milk Road Macro

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Everything else in the news today

FTX distributed $2.2 billion to creditors in the largest single payout from the bankrupt exchange
US Labor Department proposed allowing 401(k) retirement plans to invest in crypto, reversing Biden-era restrictions
Meta is testing paid Instagram Plus subscriptions for $1-2/month and launched $499 prescription Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses
SpaceX lost another Starlink satellite to an unexplained explosion creating space debris
OnlyFans founder Leonid Radvinsky died at 43, leaving behind a platform with $520M net profit from $7.2B gross revenue
Apple is opening Siri to third-party AI assistants after failing to deliver on 2024 AI promises
OpenAI suddenly killed Sora despite Disney partnerships due to excessive computing costs
NFL is demanding Kalshi and Polymarket stop offering prediction markets on easily manipulated events
Aave V4 launched on Ethereum mainnet with hub-and-spoke architecture for shared liquidity
Eli Lilly made a $2.75B deal with Insilico Medicine to bring AI-developed drugs to market
Adobe launched Turntable in Illustrator for instant 3D vector rotation
Security researchers found eight critical vulnerabilities in the White House iOS app
Pinterest launched Promote a Pin feature while facing 15% layoffs and disappointing Q4 results
TikTok unveiled new ad formats including Logo Takeover and Prime Time at NewFronts
California imposed new AI regulations requiring special safeguards for firms seeking state contracts
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