How to tell if a startup has a moat

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AI Summary

Dan Hockenmaier presents a framework for assessing whether a startup has a durable moat. He argues that only four compounding advantages really matter—switching costs, network effects, scale economies, and data effects—while speed, distribution, and brand are only fuel. The recommended process is a three-step evaluation: identify a compounding advantage, gauge its potential strength, and measure whether it's working.

Key Facts

✓Dan Hockenmaier outlines a 3-step framework for evaluating startup moats: identify a compounding advantage, gauge its strength, and measure if it's working.
✓The four real compounding advantages are switching costs, network effects, scale economies, and data effects.
✓Speed, distribution, and brand are described as fuel, not moats—they can win short-term but won't keep competitors away long-term.

Author Takes

Bearish

Common so-called moats (speed, distribution, brand)

These are fuel, not compounding advantages—they won't keep competitors away long-term and a startup must eventually build something more durable.

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