π₯ The guy who called the bear is buying π°
AI Summary
Milk Road's Sunday hot takes cover Caleb Franzen turning bullish on Bitcoin, LayerZero's Zero chain for high-frequency trading, and SpaceX being valued as an AI compute company. It also includes an interview with B3 Labs on GPU ownership via 'GPU mortgages' and Milk Road PRO analysts' views on altcoin entries and macro risk.
Key Facts
Author Takes
Bitcoin bull market
BTC is in a new bull market if it holds the 200-day MA around $71K; he'd risk 15% on the chin for 130% upside.
Onchain vs offchain trading
Coinbase and Robinhood aren't really onchain; high-frequency trading needs 1-2M TPS, which is what Zero chain targets.
SpaceX valuation
SpaceX is an AI compute company, not just a rocket launch company, and his price target is $389.
Altcoin entries
We are in a lockout rally and won't get good altcoin entries again; he's fully deployed at 0% cash.
Stocks vs bonds
Why own stocks when 10-year Treasuries pay 5.3% risk-free while the S&P at 19x earnings yields roughly 5%?
Contrarian Angle
SpaceX is an AI compute company
Kyle Reidhead argues SpaceX's valuation should be based on AI compute leases ($61M/MW) and potential 7.5-10 GW by end of next year, leading to $450B ARR bull case and a $389 price target.
Prices SpaceX on compute leases rather than launch or Starlink revenue.
GPU Mortgage for AI compute
B3 Labs lets individuals own commercial Nvidia nodes with 30% down; rent from AI labs helps pay off the rest, making AI compute an investable asset class.
Crypto's real AI play is infrastructure, not agents; turns Nvidia GPUs into income-producing assets.
Related topics
Related
π₯ 'BTC to $400k' π³
The newsletter covers hot takes on Bitcoin's potential rise to $400k, gas tokens as strategic reserves, and analysis of CoreWeave's debt. It also disc
π₯ Solanaβs biggest upgrade ever β‘
Milk Road reports that Solana's Alpenglow upgrade goes live Oct 21, cutting transaction finality from ~12.8 seconds to ~150ms. It also covers Nexo's D
π₯ βThis bull run is only 8.5% doneβ π
Hotter-than-expected inflation data raised odds of another Fed rate hike and briefly dropped Bitcoin to ~$82.8K, but long-term BTC holders have sold o